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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

New York Giants vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +118 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Giants will be starting backup QB Tyrod Taylor in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • A passing game script is implied by the Giants being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • The model projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 132.4 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Rams defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (38.5 per game) this year.
  • In this contest, Saquon Barkley is projected by the projection model to place in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs with 5.3 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Giants as the 9th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 54.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Saquon Barkley has been used less as a potential target this year (57.5% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (67.9%).
  • The Giants offensive line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • Saquon Barkley's 75.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this season signifies a noteable diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 78.3% figure.

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