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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers

Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Giants being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

In this week's contest, Saquon Barkley is expected by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs with 5.3 targets.

Saquon Barkley slots into the 99th percentile among running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) with a monstrous 26.6 figure this year.

With a terrific 3.2 adjusted catches per game (92nd percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley ranks as one of the best pass-catching running backs in the league.

The Packers linebackers profile as the worst collection of LBs in the league this year in regard to rushing the passer.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the New York Giants to be the least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 55.0% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.8 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.6 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: fewest in football.

When talking about pocket protection (and the significance it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the New York Giants grades out as the worst in the league this year.

Saquon Barkley rates as one of the most hard-handed receivers in football among running backs, catching just 76.2% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 22nd percentile.

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