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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants

Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Giants being an enormous -7.5-point underdog this week.

The projections expect the New York Giants to call the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The Giants have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.7 plays per game.

The Commanders defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (40.1 per game) this year.

In this week's contest, Saquon Barkley is predicted by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs with 5.3 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 5th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.7% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Saquon Barkley's 57.7% Route% this season conveys an impressive decrease in his air attack usage over last season's 67.9% figure.

The New York Giants offensive line ranks as the worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

With a poor 76.6% Adjusted Catch Rate (24th percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley places among the most unreliable receivers in football when it comes to running backs.

More Saquon Barkley Player Props

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