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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

New York Giants vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-170/+135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 7th-quickest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 27.52 seconds per snap.
  • Saquon Barkley has been used more as a potential pass-catcher this year (75.4% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (51.4%).
  • THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to accrue 6.2 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among RBs.
  • Saquon Barkley has been among the top pass-game running backs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 3.4 receptions per game while grading out in the 94th percentile.
  • Saquon Barkley's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Completion% increasing from 72.3% to 89.0%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Giants are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 27.7 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in football.
  • The New York Giants O-line profiles as the worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

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