Saquon Barkley Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Receptions

New York Giants vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 5:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-165/+125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 9th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Saquon Barkley has been more involved as a potential target this year (66.6% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (51.3%).
THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to total 5.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile among RBs.
Saquon Barkley has been among the leading RBs in the pass game this year, averaging a stellar 3.7 receptions per game while checking in at the 95th percentile.
Saquon Barkley's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Completion% rising from 72.4% to 80.3%.

Favors Under

The Giants are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 52.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 7th-least in the league.
The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all air attack stats across the board.
The Indianapolis Colts safeties project as the 6th-best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

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