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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+117/-156).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -129 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -156.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Giants are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New York Giants have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.0 plays per game.
  • Saquon Barkley has run more routes this season (65.2% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (51.3%).
  • THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to accrue 5.2 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 95th percentile among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
  • The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • The New York Giants O-line has allowed their QB a mere 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.40 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 7th-quickest in the league since the start of last season.

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