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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

New York Giants vs Detroit Lions

Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The New York Giants have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.1 plays per game.

Saquon Barkley has been used more as a potential pass-catcher this year (67.3% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (51.4%).

THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to notch 4.2 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 89th percentile among RBs.

Saquon Barkley has been among the top RB receiving threats this year, averaging an impressive 3.2 receptions per game while ranking in the 88th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Giants are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 46.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

The New York Giants O-line has given their QB just 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

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