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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Philadelphia Eagles vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 131.8 total plays called: the 4th-highest number among all games this week.
  • The 5th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Eagles this year (a colossal 60.5 per game on average).
  • The predictive model expects Saquon Barkley to total 3.7 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 84th percentile among running backs.
  • Saquon Barkley has put up a staggering 15.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile when it comes to RBs. (This may not sound like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • Saquon Barkley has accrued many more adjusted receiving yards per game (24.0) this season than he did last season (19.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 54.8% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.6 per game) this year.
  • Saquon Barkley's 22.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 27.4.
  • Saquon Barkley comes in as one of the bottom RBs in the NFL at generating extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a mere 5.33 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 18th percentile.

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