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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Eagles to call the 10th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.3 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a staggering 60.6 plays per game.

The Buccaneers defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (37.4 per game) since the start of last season.

In this contest, Saquon Barkley is forecasted by the predictive model to rank in the 98th percentile when it comes to RBs with 5.6 targets.

While Saquon Barkley has accounted for 12.1% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more important option in Philadelphia's pass game in this week's contest at 17.8%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Eagles to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.8% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Saquon Barkley's skills in generating extra yardage have declined this season, notching just 3.70 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.07 mark last season.

The Buccaneers safeties rank as the 5th-best unit in football since the start of last season in defending receivers.

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