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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

New Orleans Saints vs Philadelphia Eagles

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Eagles are projected by the projections to run 65.2 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-most among all teams this week.

The 3rd-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a massive 60.6 per game on average).

The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

The model projects Saquon Barkley to garner 4.5 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs.

When it comes to air yards, Saquon Barkley ranks in the lofty 100th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, accruing a superb 10.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more remarkable than it appears since most RBs have negative air yards).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this game, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their typical approach.

The model projects the Eagles to be the 8th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 54.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

With a feeble 73.5% Adjusted Catch Rate (16th percentile) since the start of last season, Saquon Barkley stands among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL among running backs.

With a weak 5.30 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) since the start of last season, Saquon Barkley ranks as one of the top RBs in the pass game in football in space.

The New Orleans Saints defense has given up the 3rd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 22.0) to RBs since the start of last season.

More Saquon Barkley Player Props

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