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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 59.4 plays per game.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

In this contest, Saquon Barkley is predicted by the projections to finish in the 100th percentile among RBs with 3.0 targets.

Saquon Barkley has notched a colossal 6.0 air yards per game this year: 98th percentile among running backs. (That may not seem too impressive, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

Saquon Barkley's 85.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this year marks a significant progression in his receiving skills over last year's 72.6% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 51.0% of their plays: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Eagles are anticipated by the model to call only 67.4 offensive plays in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Chiefs defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.

Saquon Barkley's 18.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 26.4.

The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

More Saquon Barkley Player Props

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