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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week, Saquon Barkley is forecasted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 78th percentile among running backs with 2.3 targets.
  • As it relates to air yards, Saquon Barkley ranks in the towering 98th percentile among RBs this year, totaling a massive 6.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).
  • Saquon Barkley rates as one of the leading pass-catching RBs this year, averaging an excellent 17.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 77th percentile.
  • Saquon Barkley's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 72.6% to 85.4%.
  • Saquon Barkley's pass-catching efficiency has been refined this year, totaling 7.28 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a mere 4.70 figure last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line suggests a rushing game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • The projections expect the Eagles to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 39.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect the Eagles offense to be the 7th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 28.25 seconds per play.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.
  • Saquon Barkley's 18.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 26.4.

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