The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 54.5% of their chances: the lowest rate on the slate this week.Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Atlanta Falcons, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (just 32.3 per game) since the start of last season.Saquon Barkley profiles as one of the most hard-handed receivers in football when it comes to running backs, hauling in a mere 72.6% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, grading out in the 16th percentile.Saquon Barkley has been one of the least efficient receivers in the NFL when it comes to RBs, averaging just 4.70 adjusted yards-per-target last year while checking in at the 18th percentile.
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