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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 8th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Eagles this year (a staggering 59.6 per game on average).

Saquon Barkley has accumulated a staggering 7.0 air yards per game this year: 98th percentile among running backs. (That might not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

The Philadelphia O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.

With an exceptional 20.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (78th percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley places among the leading running backs in the pass game in the NFL.

Saquon Barkley's 86.7% Adjusted Catch% this year represents a remarkable growth in his pass-catching ability over last year's 72.6% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 4 points.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Eagles to pass on 46.6% of their chances: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are expected by the model to run only 64.7 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-fewest on the slate this week.

Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Washington Commanders, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.6 per game) this year.

Saquon Barkley's 19.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 27.4.

More Saquon Barkley Player Props

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