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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Eagles offense to be the fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.48 seconds per snap.

Our trusted projections expect Saquon Barkley to garner 3.9 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 91st percentile among RBs.

As it relates to air yards, Saquon Barkley grades out in the towering 100th percentile among RBs last year, accruing a superb 10.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more impressive than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).

Saquon Barkley slots into the 98th percentile when it comes to RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) with a remarkable 26.4 mark last year.

The Eagles O-line profiles as the best in the league last year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Packers, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.8 per game) last year.

With a poor 72.6% Adjusted Catch Rate (21st percentile) last year, Saquon Barkley places as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football among running backs.

Saquon Barkley grades out as one of the least effective pass-catchers in football when it comes to running backs, averaging a mere 4.68 adjusted yards-per-target last year while grading out in the 12th percentile.

Saquon Barkley grades out as one of the bottom running backs in the league at generating extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a lowly 4.54 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while checking in at the 2nd percentile.

The Packers defense has given up the 7th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 26.0) vs. running backs last year.

More Saquon Barkley Player Props

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