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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Buffalo Bills vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Giants may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) because they be forced to start backup QB Tyrod Taylor.
  • An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a a big -15.5-point underdog this week.
  • Saquon Barkley has run a route on 67.4% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • The projections expect Saquon Barkley to garner 5.0 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among running backs.
  • With an excellent 20.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (86th percentile) since the start of last season, Saquon Barkley ranks among the leading pass-catching running backs in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to be the 8th-least pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.1% pass rate.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Bills, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 29.6 per game) this year.
  • When talking about air yards, Saquon Barkley ranks in the paltry 7th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, with just -3.0 per game.
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the worst in football this year.
  • With a weak 3.7 adjusted yards per target (17th percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley rates among the bottom pass-game RBs in the NFL.

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