Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs New York Giants · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 16, 2023 12:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Giants may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) because they be forced to start backup QB Tyrod Taylor.
An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a a big -15.5-point underdog this week.
Saquon Barkley has run a route on 67.4% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs.
The projections expect Saquon Barkley to garner 5.0 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among running backs.
With an excellent 20.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (86th percentile) since the start of last season, Saquon Barkley ranks among the leading pass-catching running backs in football.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to be the 8th-least pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.1% pass rate.
Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Bills, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 29.6 per game) this year.
When talking about air yards, Saquon Barkley ranks in the paltry 7th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, with just -3.0 per game.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the worst in football this year.
With a weak 3.7 adjusted yards per target (17th percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley rates among the bottom pass-game RBs in the NFL.

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