My Account Log Out

reorder

Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Giants may rely on the pass game less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be starting backup quarterback Tyrod Taylor.

This game's line indicates a throwing game script for the Giants, who are -4.5-point underdogs.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to see 130.9 plays on offense called: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.

The Eagles defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (40.2 per game) this year.

In this week's game, Saquon Barkley is anticipated by the projection model to secure a spot in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs with 5.2 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Giants rank as the 10th-least pass-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 59.2% pass rate.

Saquon Barkley has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (57.3% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (67.9%).

The Giants offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

Saquon Barkley's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 78.3% to 72.1%.

Saquon Barkley profiles as one of the least efficient pass-catchers in the NFL among running backs, averaging a mere 4.29 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 10th percentile.

More Saquon Barkley Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™