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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

New York Giants vs Los Angeles Rams

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Giants will be starting backup QB Tyrod Taylor in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

A passing game script is implied by the Giants being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 132.4 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The Rams defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (38.5 per game) this year.

In this contest, Saquon Barkley is projected by the projection model to place in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs with 5.3 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Giants as the 9th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 54.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Saquon Barkley has been used less as a potential target this year (57.5% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (67.9%).

The Giants offensive line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Saquon Barkley's 75.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this season signifies a noteable diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 78.3% figure.

With a feeble 4.4 adjusted yards per target (14th percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley places among the bottom running backs in the pass game in football.

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