Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Giants being an enormous -7.5-point underdog this week.
The projections expect the New York Giants to call the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The Giants have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.7 plays per game.
The Commanders defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (40.1 per game) this year.
In this week's contest, Saquon Barkley is predicted by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs with 5.3 targets.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 5th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.7% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Saquon Barkley's 57.7% Route% this season conveys an impressive decrease in his air attack usage over last season's 67.9% figure.
Saquon Barkley has accrued a puny -3.0 air yards per game this year: just 10th percentile among RBs.
The New York Giants offensive line ranks as the worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
With a poor 76.6% Adjusted Catch Rate (24th percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley places among the most unreliable receivers in football when it comes to running backs.

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