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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Giants are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The New York Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game.
  • The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 42.6 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
  • Saquon Barkley has been used more as a potential pass-catcher this year (72.5% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (51.4%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Giants have been the 6th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.0% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.
  • The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has been quite strong when opposing running backs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 7.33 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-least in the league.
  • The Baltimore Ravens safeties project as the 10th-best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

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