Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The New York Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 42.6 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
Saquon Barkley has been used more as a potential pass-catcher this year (72.5% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (51.4%).

Favors Under

The Giants have been the 6th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.0% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has been quite strong when opposing running backs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 7.33 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-least in the league.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties project as the 10th-best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

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