Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 20

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants · Week 20, 2022

Updated Jan 22, 2023 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-155/+125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 138.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Saquon Barkley has run more routes this year (67.9% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (51.3%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 3rd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 57.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Saquon Barkley has put up a paltry -4.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 6th percentile among RBs.
The New York Giants O-line grades out as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
Saquon Barkley has been among the least effective receivers in the NFL among running backs, averaging a lowly 4.26 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 10th percentile.
The New York Giants O-line has afforded their quarterback just 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

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