Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Carolina Panthers · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM EST

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to accumulate 6.2 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among running backs.
Saquon Barkley has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 14.7% since the start of last season, which places him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
Saquon Barkley has accrued a colossal 2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 81st percentile among RBs.
Saquon Barkley has been among the best RBs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 19.0 yards per game while ranking in the 81st percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 10th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New York Giants have run the 8th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 60.8 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in the league.
The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.
The Carolina Panthers defense has allowed the least receiving yards per game in the league (just 21.0) vs. running backs since the start of last season.