Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Giants · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -131 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 134.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 59.6 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 58.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Saquon Barkley has notched a paltry -4.0 air yards per game this year: just 6th percentile among running backs.
The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
Saquon Barkley has been among the least efficient pass-catchers in the NFL among RBs, averaging a lowly 4.26 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 10th percentile.
The New York Giants O-line has allowed their QB a mere 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (5th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

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