Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 1:26 AM EST

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a heavy 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 6th-quickest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.50 seconds per play.
Saquon Barkley has been more involved as a potential target this year (65.2% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (51.3%).
THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to accumulate 4.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among RBs.
Saquon Barkley has been among the leading RBs in the pass game this year, averaging an impressive 18.0 yards per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 9th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 53.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.
Saquon Barkley has accrued a mere -1.0 air yards per game this year: just 23rd percentile among running backs.
The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
Saquon Barkley has been among the least efficient pass-catchers in the NFL among RBs, averaging just 4.69 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 18th percentile.

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