Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.0 plays per game.
Saquon Barkley has run more routes this season (65.2% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (51.3%).
THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to accrue 5.2 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 95th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
Saquon Barkley has accumulated a meager -1.0 air yards per game this year: just 21st percentile among RBs.
The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
Saquon Barkley has been among the least efficient pass-catchers in the league among running backs, averaging a mere 4.46 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 13th percentile.

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