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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 8

Seattle Seahawks vs New York Giants

Saquon Barkley Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+436/-993).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +440 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +436.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Giants are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New York Giants have called the 9th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.3 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to be much more involved in his offense's passing offense near the end zone this week (13.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (4.5% in games he has played).

Saquon Barkley has notched a whopping 3.0 air yards per game this year: 81st percentile among RBs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 9th-least in football.

The New York Giants offensive line ranks as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Saquon Barkley grades out in the 1st percentile among RBs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a measly 0.00 per game.

The New York Giants offensive line has given their QB a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

The New York Giants have used motion in their offense on 26.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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