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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 4

New York Giants vs Chicago Bears

Saquon Barkley Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+414/-907).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +416 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +414.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 7th-quickest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 27.52 seconds per snap.

Saquon Barkley has put up a whopping 2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 80th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

Saquon Barkley's 22.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the league: 96th percentile for running backs.

Saquon Barkley's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Completion% increasing from 72.3% to 89.0%.

Saquon Barkley grades out in the 81st percentile among running backs as it relates to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 0.12 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Giants are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Opposing QBs have averaged 27.7 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in football.

The New York Giants O-line profiles as the worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

The New York Giants O-line has allowed their quarterback just 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

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