Saquon Barkley Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Carries

Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 9, 2024

Updated Nov 4, 2024 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a heavy favorite this week, indicating much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan.
Our trusted projections expect the Eagles as the 2nd-most run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 49.1% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The 7th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Eagles this year (a staggering 59.0 per game on average).
In this week's contest, Saquon Barkley is predicted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 90th percentile among RBs with 18.3 rush attempts.
Saquon Barkley has received 60.5% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 91st percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 125.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

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