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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Carries
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

Saquon Barkley Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the most run-centric team in the NFL (46.4% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Philadelphia Eagles.

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 59.4 plays per game.

In this contest, Saquon Barkley is projected by our trusted projection set to land in the 100th percentile among RBs with 21.1 rush attempts.

Saquon Barkley has been given 64.6% of his offense's carries this year, putting him in the 96th percentile when it comes to RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Eagles are anticipated by the model to call only 67.4 offensive plays in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

The Kansas City Chiefs safeties rank as the 5th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

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