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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Carries
Player Prop Week 19

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.
  • The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 53.4% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the model to run 67.7 plays on offense in this contest: the highest number among all teams this week.
  • The Eagles have called the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 60.1 plays per game.
  • The model projects Saquon Barkley to accumulate 23.1 carries in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile when it comes to running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles will be rolling out backup QB Tanner McKee this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may slide.
  • The Green Bay defensive ends profile as the 8th-best group of DEs in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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