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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Carries
Player Prop Week 15

Philadelphia Eagles vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Saquon Barkley Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a running game script.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to run on 53.2% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.

In this week's game, Saquon Barkley is predicted by the model to secure a spot in the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs with 22.7 carries.

Saquon Barkley has garnered 62.5% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 91st percentile when it comes to running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Eagles offense to be the 5th-slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 28.99 seconds per snap.

Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) usually correlate with better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced run volume.

The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties grade out as the 4th-best unit in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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