Saquon Barkley Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Carries

New York Giants vs New York Jets · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 30, 2023 12:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Giants as the 4th-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 47.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Giants this year (a monstrous 61.4 per game on average).
The projections expect Saquon Barkley to earn 20.3 rush attempts this week, on balance, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Among all running backs, Saquon Barkley ranks in the 93rd percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 63.7% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.

Favors Under

The New York Giants will be rolling with backup QB Tyrod Taylor in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
At a -3-point disadvantage, the Giants are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on passing than their normal approach.
Based on the game dynamics and traits of each team, our trusted projections expect this game (with an average of 26.80 seconds per play) will have the 11th-slowest pace out of all the games this week.
The New York O-line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league last year at executing run-blocking assingments.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, New York's collection of DTs has been terrific this year, ranking as the 9th-best in the NFL.

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