Saquon Barkley Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Carries

Buffalo Bills vs New York Giants · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the league (41.9% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the New York Giants.
The model projects Saquon Barkley to garner 14.7 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile among RBs.
Saquon Barkley has been given 54.0% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.
The Bills safeties rank as the 31st-worst safety corps in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

Favors Under

The New York Giants may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) because they be forced to start backup QB Tyrod Taylor.
An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a a big -15.5-point underdog this week.
The the Giants offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league last year at opening holes for rushers.

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