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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Carries
Player Prop Week 12

New York Giants vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-103/-127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Giants to run on 46.2% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have 131.6 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The model projects Saquon Barkley to earn 22.4 rush attempts in this contest, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Out of all running backs, Saquon Barkley grades out in the 97th percentile for rush attempts this year, comprising 66.5% of the workload in his team's ground game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Giants are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 7th-worst in football last year at blocking for the run game.
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, New England's unit has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the best in football.

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