Saquon Barkley Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Carries

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 3:31 AM UTC

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants as the 5th-most run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 47.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the New York Giants to call the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The Giants have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.7 plays per game.
In this week's contest, Saquon Barkley is forecasted by the predictive model to land in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs with 21.5 rush attempts.
Among all running backs, Saquon Barkley ranks in the 96th percentile for carries this year, taking on 65.8% of the workload in his offense's running game.

Favors Under

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Giants being an enormous -7.5-point underdog this week.
When it comes to run support (and the importance it has on all run game statistics), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL last year.

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