Saquon Barkley Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Carries

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 8:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Giants to be the 8th-quickest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.58 seconds per play.
In this week's game, Saquon Barkley is predicted by the projection model to rank in the 96th percentile among running backs with 18.0 carries.
Saquon Barkley has been given 65.6% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 96th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a big -17.5-point underdog in this week's game.
The predictive model expects the Giants as the 5th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 39.6% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
When it comes to run-blocking (and the influence it has on all ground game statistics), the offensive line of the New York Giants profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL last year.
The Dallas Cowboys defensive ends rank as the best group of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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