Saquon Barkley Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Carries

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 11, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants have been the 8th-most run-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 43.8% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the 10th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to notch 17.7 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 97th percentile among RBs.
Saquon Barkley has been given 63.1% of his offense's rush attempts since the start of last season, ranking him in the 96th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The Giants are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.

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