Saquon Barkley Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Carries

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 17, 2022 2:46 AM EST

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+125/-165).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants have been the 7th-most run-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) this year with a 43.0% run rate.
The New York Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to accrue 17.5 carries in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile among running backs.
Saquon Barkley has been a much bigger part of his offense's running game this year (72.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (58.1%).
The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

The Giants are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Baltimore Ravens defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.
The Baltimore Ravens have stacked the box vs. opponents on 18.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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