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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Carries
Player Prop Week 3

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run among all games this week at 129.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to garner 18.0 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among running backs.
  • Saquon Barkley has been a more important option in his team's run game this year (72.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (58.1%).
  • The Dallas Cowboys defensive tackles project as the worst collection of DTs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.
  • The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in the league). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 2nd-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 43.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The New York Giants have called the least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.7 plays per game.
  • The New York Giants O-line profiles as the worst in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.

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