Saquon Barkley Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Carries

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 27, 2022 12:10 AM UTC

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run among all games this week at 129.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to garner 18.0 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among running backs.
Saquon Barkley has been a more important option in his team's run game this year (72.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (58.1%).
The Dallas Cowboys defensive tackles project as the worst collection of DTs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.
The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in the league). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 2nd-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 43.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.7 plays per game.
The New York Giants O-line profiles as the worst in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.

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