Saquon Barkley Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Carries

New York Giants vs Carolina Panthers · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 4:55 PM EST

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 10th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 43.2% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to total 18.9 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile among running backs.
Saquon Barkley has earned 57.9% of his team's carries since the start of last season, putting him in the 89th percentile among running backs.
The Carolina Panthers safeties rank as the 29th-worst safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

Favors Under

The New York Giants have run the 8th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 60.8 plays per game.
The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box vs. opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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