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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Carries
Player Prop Week 15

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-114/-114).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 9th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 46.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 6th-quickest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.50 seconds per play.
  • THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to garner 18.0 carries in this contest, on average, ranking in the 94th percentile among running backs.
  • The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in football). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Giants are a heavy 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to be much less involved in his offense's running game this week (60.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (72.3% in games he has played).
  • The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the league this year in run blocking.
  • The Washington Commanders safeties grade out as the 4th-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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