Saquon Barkley Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Carries

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-114/-114).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 9th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 46.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 6th-quickest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.50 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to garner 18.0 carries in this contest, on average, ranking in the 94th percentile among running backs.
The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in football). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

Favors Under

The Giants are a heavy 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to be much less involved in his offense's running game this week (60.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (72.3% in games he has played).
The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the league this year in run blocking.
The Washington Commanders safeties grade out as the 4th-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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