Saquon Barkley Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Carries

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 8, 2022 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+100/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 8th-most run-centric team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 42.7% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.0 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to accrue 20.2 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
Saquon Barkley has been a much bigger part of his team's running game this season (73.1% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (58.1%).

Favors Under

The Giants are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year at opening holes for runners.
The Philadelphia Eagles defensive ends rank as the best group of DEs in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

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