Sammy Watkins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Sammy Watkins

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 19, 2022 12:20 AM EST

Analysis

Sammy Watkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 4th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 65.2% pass rate.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has displayed weak efficiency against wide receivers since the start of last season, giving up 8.57 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-most in the NFL.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing WRs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.85 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 7th-most in the league.
The Chicago Bears cornerbacks rank as the 8th-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Favors Under

The Packers are a big 10-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.3 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in football.
The Chicago Bears defense has given up the 7th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 132.0) versus WRs since the start of last season.
The Green Bay Packers O-line has afforded their quarterback just 2.44 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.