Sammy Watkins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Sammy Watkins

NFL · Player Props

Sammy Watkins

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC

Analysis

Sammy Watkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-106/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Ravens are a big 8.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Baltimore Ravens O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game stats across the board.
Sammy Watkins's ability to pick up extra yardage has improved this year, accumulating 6.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to just 3.67 mark last year.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency vs. wideouts this year, allowing 9.06 yards-per-target to the position: the most in football.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to run the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Sammy Watkins has accumulated far fewer air yards this year (30.0 per game) than he did last year (44.0 per game).
Sammy Watkins has totaled a lot fewer receiving yards per game (18.0) this season than he did last season (35.0).
Sammy Watkins's pass-catching effectiveness has tailed off this season, notching a mere 7.17 yards-per-target vs a 8.44 figure last season.

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