Sammy Watkins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Sammy Watkins

NFL · Player Props

Sammy Watkins

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Sammy Watkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Packers are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
Sammy Watkins has gone out for fewer passes this season (60.2% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (48.7%).
The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Sammy Watkins's ability to grind out extra yardage has gotten a boost this year, compiling 4.92 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a measly 3.67 rate last year.
The Green Bay Packers have incorporated some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their play-calls since the start of last season (6th-most in the league), which usually makes an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense to be the 3rd-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 30.07 seconds per play.
The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Sammy Watkins has notched far fewer air yards this season (37.0 per game) than he did last season (44.0 per game).
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has allowed the 4th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 122.0) versus wideouts this year.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has yielded the lowest Completion% in football (57.8%) to wide receivers this year (57.8%).

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