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Sammy Watkins

Sammy Watkins Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 9

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

Sammy Watkins Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+365/-731).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Sammy Watkins's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Completion% jumping from 59.8% to 73.5%.

The Detroit Lions pass defense has surrendered the highest Completion% in football (72.8%) versus wideouts this year (72.8%).

The Detroit Lions defense has allowed the 6th-most passing touchdowns in the NFL to wideouts: 1.00 per game this year.

The Detroit Lions cornerbacks rank as the worst group of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a heavy 10.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the 3rd-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Sammy Watkins has put up far fewer air yards this year (38.0 per game) than he did last year (44.0 per game).

Sammy Watkins grades out in the 1st percentile among WRs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a lowly 0.00 per game.

The Green Bay Packers offensive line has given their QB a measly 2.44 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

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