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Samaje Perine

Samaje Perine Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Kansas City Chiefs vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Samaje Perine Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread implies an extreme rushing game script for the Chiefs, who are a heavy favorite by 8 points.
  • Samaje Perine's running effectiveness (4.53 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (76th percentile when it comes to running backs).
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, New Orleans's collection of DTs has been very bad this year, profiling as the worst in the league. in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 41.9% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to have the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Chiefs this year (a mere 54.0 per game on average).
  • The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • With a lousy total of 11.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (22nd percentile) this year, Samaje Perine ranks as one of the worst pure runners in the NFL at the position.

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