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Samaje Perine

Samaje Perine Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Samaje Perine Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this game, implying more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • While Samaje Perine has garnered 7.4% of his team's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more important option in Kansas City's rushing attack in this game at 18.9%.
  • With a fantastic record of 4.62 adjusted yards per carry (81st percentile), Samaje Perine rates as one of the best pure runners in football since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Chiefs to be the 3rd-least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 37.4% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally lead to better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume.
  • The Chargers safeties rank as the 5th-best safety corps in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

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