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Samaje Perine

Samaje Perine Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots

Samaje Perine Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Broncos are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Denver Broncos to run on 49.6% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week.

Samaje Perine's rushing effectiveness has been refined this season, totaling 5.08 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to just 4.25 rate last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to see just 124.4 total plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.

The 3rd-fewest plays in football have been run by the Broncos this year (a lowly 53.9 per game on average).

Samaje Perine has been a much smaller part of his team's rushing attack this season (11.6% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (24.5%).

This year, the weak Patriots run defense has been torched for a massive 3.49 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposing run game: the 31st-highest rate in the league.

The New England Patriots safeties grade out as the best group of safeties in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.

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