Samaje Perine Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Samaje Perine

NFL · Player Props

Samaje Perine

RB · Denver Broncos

Rushing Yards

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Samaje Perine Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Sean Payton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.4% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
The Broncos are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos as the 5th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 45.8% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Samaje Perine to garner 11.9 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile among RBs.
THE BLITZ projects Samaje Perine to be a more important option in his team's rushing attack this week (41.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (24.5% in games he has played).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-least plays run among all games this week at 125.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Las Vegas Raiders defensive ends project as the 4th-best DE corps in the NFL since the start of last season with their run defense.

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